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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 24 August 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 14
  4. 16
  5. 22
  6. 28
  7. 4
  8. 6

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,536 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-08-23All recent draws2016-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 14 16 22 28 + 4 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd0th
  • low94th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

4171times
12178times
14186times
16190times
22

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-24

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€661.6Kto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€142.7K
  • 417%€113.0K
  • 351%€334.6K
  • 1 other tier11%€71.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

191times
28188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,535 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 14, 22, 28) with the draw of 22 October 2015 — its closest relative in 1,535 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 August 2016): 12 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 4.4 by chance
€35,664
  • 5122≈ 91 by chance€585
  • 45,215≈ 5.0k by chance€21.66
  • 383,653≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,653 winners, 8% fewer than the 91k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€35,664
    5122€585
    45,215€21.66
    383,653€4.00
    R0€0.50