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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 August 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 20
  3. 31
  4. 32
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 6
  8. 38

Jackpot€1,383,575

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,528 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-08-13All recent draws2016-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 20 31 32 41 48 + 6 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

14185times
20198times
31202times
32192times
41

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€437.3Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 540%€174.9K
  • 421%€92.3K
  • 339%€170.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.19 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

174times
48176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,527 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 20, 41, 48) with the draw of 15 March 2013 — its closest relative in 1,527 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2016): 32 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 2.2 by chance
no winners
  • 537≈ 46 by chance€4,726
  • 42,146≈ 2.5k by chance€43.00
  • 342,552≈ 46k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,146 winners, 15% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    537€4,726
    42,146€43.00
    342,552€4.00
    R0€0.50