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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 22 July 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 27

Jackpot€243,933

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,508 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-07-21All recent draws2016-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 38 39 48 49 + 6 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

1181times
3186times
38198times
39190times
48

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 57lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 645%€540.9K
  • 5+C13%€158.4K
  • 324%€290.0K
  • 2 other tiers17%€204.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

173times
49181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,507 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 39, 48, 49) with the draw of 2 July 2012 — its closest relative in 1,507 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2016): 3 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39, 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€270,456
  • 5+C1≈ 3.8 by chance€158,389
  • 5122≈ 78 by chance€649
  • 45,665≈ 4.3k by chance€22.13
  • 372,488≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,665 winners, 31% more than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€270,456
    5+C1€158,389
    5122€649
    45,665€22.13
    372,488€4.00
    R0€0.50