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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 11 July 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 13
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 39
  6. 46
  7. 9
  8. 45

Jackpot€524,446

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,498 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-07-09All recent draws2016-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 13 29 30 39 46 + 9 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

4166times
13165times
29161times
30175times
39

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€679.7Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€175.0K
  • 420%€138.5K
  • 341%€278.8K
  • 1 other tier13%€87.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

188times
46170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,497 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (4, 13, 29, 30, 46) with the draw of 2 December 2011 — its closest relative in 1,497 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2016): 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.7 by chance
€174,956
  • 584≈ 75 by chance€1,041
  • 43,734≈ 4.2k by chance€37.09
  • 369,693≈ 76k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,734 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€174,956
    584€1,041
    43,734€37.09
    369,693€4.00
    R0€0.50