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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 20 May 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 21
  6. 26
  7. 5
  8. 22

Jackpot€2,860,001

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,454 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-05-19All recent draws2016-05-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 16 18 21 26 + 5 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 178 of each

6163times
10206times
16181times
18180times
21

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-20

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 679%€3.2M
  • 5+C4.9%€202.2K
  • 310%€411.2K
  • 2 other tiers6.3%€261.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.45 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
26187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,453 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 16, 18, 26) with the draw of 28 January 2016 — its closest relative in 1,453 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,239,062
  • 5+C3≈ 5.4 by chance€67,389
  • 5106≈ 111 by chance€954
  • 45,726≈ 6.1k by chance€27.95
  • 3102,812≈ 112k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 102,812 winners, 8% fewer than the 112k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,239,062
    5+C3€67,389
    5106€954
    45,726€27.95
    3102,812€4.00
    R0€0.50