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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 May 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 36
  4. 38
  5. 44
  6. 47
  7. 7
  8. 24

Jackpot€234,236

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,438 of 4,855 under them

← 2016-04-30All recent draws2016-05-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 36 38 44 47 + 7 2429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 176 of each

3178times
4161times
36200times
38187times
44

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-02

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€545.7Kto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€137.9K
  • 420%€109.2K
  • 342%€229.6K
  • 1 other tier13%€69.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

174times
47178times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,437 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 36, 38) with the draw of 11 September 2013 — its closest relative in 1,437 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2016): 3, 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.0 by chance
€45,980
  • 548≈ 62 by chance€1,437
  • 43,002≈ 3.4k by chance€36.38
  • 357,401≈ 62k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,002 winners, 12% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€45,980
    548€1,437
    43,002€36.38
    357,401€4.00
    R0€0.50