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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 21 April 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 28
  5. 29
  6. 45
  7. 2
  8. 8

Jackpot€580,208

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,429 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-04-20All recent draws2016-04-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 20 28 29 45 + 2 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each

1172times
15165times
20184times
28173times
29

Prize breakdown · 2016-04-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€608.8Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€149.3K
  • 419%€118.2K
  • 344%€266.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€74.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

149times
45164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,428 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 20, 28, 45) with the draw of 28 October 2013 — its closest relative in 1,428 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 April 2016): 29 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.5 by chance
€74,646
  • 572≈ 72 by chance€1,037
  • 43,510≈ 4.0k by chance€33.67
  • 366,659≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,510 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€74,646
    572€1,037
    43,510€33.67
    366,659€4.00
    R0€0.50