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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 4 April 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 26
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 7
  8. 38

Jackpot€244,166

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,414 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-04-02All recent draws2016-04-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 26 40 43 44 + 7 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 April 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each

11168times
21170times
26181times
40174times
43

Prize breakdown · 2016-04-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 646%€552.7K
  • 5+C14%€164.6K
  • 322%€266.6K
  • 2 other tiers18%€212.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

166times
44169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,413 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 26, 43, 44) with the draw of 3 April 2015 — its closest relative in 1,413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 April 2016): 11, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€552,707
  • 5+C3≈ 3.5 by chance€54,852
  • 570≈ 72 by chance€1,175
  • 43,393≈ 4.0k by chance€38.39
  • 366,661≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,393 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€552,707
    5+C3€54,852
    570€1,175
    43,393€38.39
    366,661€4.00
    R0€0.50