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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€523,140
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,410 of 4,854 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,409 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 28, 35, 47) with the draw of 6 September 2013 — its closest relative in 1,409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 March 2016): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 151 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 9,285 winners, 57% more than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | €272,770 |
| 5+C | 4 | €39,356 |
| 5 | 244 | €323 |
| 4 | 9,285 | €13.42 |
| 3 | 98,968 | €4.00 |
| R | 0 | €0.50 |