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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 18 February 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 1
  8. 17

Jackpot€907,432

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,375 of 4,855 under them

← 2016-02-17All recent draws2016-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 11 38 41 43 + 1 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

6155times
10194times
11159times
38181times
41

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€658.2Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€167.5K
  • 420%€132.6K
  • 342%€274.5K
  • 1 other tier13%€83.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

158times
43164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,374 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 10, 38, 43) with the draw of 2 December 2013 — its closest relative in 1,374 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2016): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.6 by chance
€167,461
  • 558≈ 74 by chance€1,444
  • 43,372≈ 4.1k by chance€39.32
  • 368,614≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,372 winners, 18% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€167,461
    558€1,444
    43,372€39.32
    368,614€4.00
    R0€0.50