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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2016

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 43
  7. 2
  8. 24

Jackpot€720,321

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,335 of 4,854 under them

← 2016-01-01All recent draws2016-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 16 21 23 43 + 2 2429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each

3164times
8155times
16168times
21158times
23

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€654.7Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€141.2K
  • 417%€111.8K
  • 351%€331.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€70.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

155times
43159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,334 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 23, 43) with the draw of 17 July 2015 — its closest relative in 1,334 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€70,618
  • 590≈ 90 by chance€785
  • 44,768≈ 4.9k by chance€23.45
  • 382,767≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 82,767 winners, 8% fewer than the 90k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€70,618
    590€785
    44,768€23.45
    382,767€4.00
    R0€0.50