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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 10 October 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 33
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 0
  8. 10

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,263 of 4,855 under them

← 2015-10-09All recent draws2015-10-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 16 33 41 48 + 0 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

9142times
13142times
16155times
33160times
41

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€479.7Kto 55k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€118.8K
  • 420%€94.0K
  • 343%€207.5K
  • 1 other tier12%€59.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.23 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

149times
48137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,262 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 33, 41) with the draw of 25 February 2015 — its closest relative in 1,262 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2015): 9 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 2.7 by chance
€118,774
  • 548≈ 56 by chance€1,237
  • 42,740≈ 3.1k by chance€34.32
  • 351,878≈ 56k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,740 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€118,774
    548€1,237
    42,740€34.32
    351,878€4.00
    R0€0.50