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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 22 September 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 25
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 43
  6. 47
  7. 3
  8. 12

Jackpot€528,862

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,247 of 4,855 under them

← 2015-09-21All recent draws2015-09-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 25 27 28 43 47 + 3 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each

14152times
25157times
27163times
28150times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€650.6Kto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€152.7K
  • 419%€120.9K
  • 346%€300.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€76.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

146times
47155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,246 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 27, 28, 47) with the draw of 3 September 2014 — its closest relative in 1,246 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2015): 27 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

184

The numbers add up to 184 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.0 by chance
€152,661
  • 567≈ 81 by chance€1,139
  • 44,057≈ 4.5k by chance€29.79
  • 375,179≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,057 winners, 9% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€152,661
    567€1,139
    44,057€29.79
    375,179€4.00
    R0€0.50