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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 15 August 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 46
  7. 5
  8. 17

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,215 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-08-14All recent draws2015-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 38 39 41 46 + 5 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each

4133times
6136times
38162times
39161times
41

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€702.0Kto 48k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 633%€234.1K
  • 5+C18%€124.9K
  • 326%€181.7K
  • 2 other tiers23%€161.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

142times
46130times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 38, 46) with the draw of 30 April 2015 — its closest relative in 1,214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€234,126
  • 5+C2≈ 2.4 by chance€62,434
  • 542≈ 49 by chance€1,487
  • 42,318≈ 2.7k by chance€42.65
  • 345,432≈ 49k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,318 winners, 14% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€234,126
    5+C2€62,434
    542€1,487
    42,318€42.65
    345,432€4.00
    R0€0.50