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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 3 August 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 34
  7. 4
  8. 30

Jackpot€3,384,831

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,204 of 4,855 under them

← 2015-08-01All recent draws2015-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 11 31 33 34 + 4 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 147 of each

1146times
6134times
11142times
31158times
33

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€856.2Kto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 536%€307.9K
  • 419%€162.5K
  • 345%€385.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.42 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

150times
34150times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,203 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 31, 33) with the draw of 20 July 2012 — its closest relative in 1,203 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 August 2015): 34 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 5.1 by chance
no winners
  • 585≈ 104 by chance€3,622
  • 45,074≈ 5.7k by chance€32.02
  • 396,474≈ 105k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,074 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    585€3,622
    45,074€32.02
    396,474€4.00
    R0€0.50