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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 23 July 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 34
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 45
  7. 2
  8. 30

Jackpot€534,184

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,195 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-07-22All recent draws2015-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 34 40 43 45 + 2 3029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each

12132times
16147times
34147times
40143times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€560.8Kto 61k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€144.0K
  • 420%€114.0K
  • 341%€230.7K
  • 1 other tier13%€72.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

140times
45137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,194 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 16, 34, 45) with the draw of 24 January 2014 — its closest relative in 1,194 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2015): 12 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

190

The numbers add up to 190 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.0 by chance
€48,013
  • 561≈ 62 by chance€1,181
  • 42,989≈ 3.4k by chance€38.15
  • 357,682≈ 63k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 2,989 winners, 13% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€48,013
    561€1,181
    42,989€38.15
    357,682€4.00
    R0€0.50