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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 June 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 33
  3. 37
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 11

Jackpot€3,007,173

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,162 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-06-13All recent draws2015-06-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 33 37 38 43 49 + 9 1129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 June 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd94th
  • low5th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 142 of each

1143times
33145times
37127times
38156times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-06-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€867.8Kto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€209.5K
  • 419%€165.8K
  • 345%€387.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€104.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.43 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
49151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 37, 38, 43) with the draw of 18 June 2014 — its closest relative in 1,161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 June 2015): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

201

The numbers add up to 201 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.1 by chance
€209,461
  • 583≈ 105 by chance€1,262
  • 45,115≈ 5.8k by chance€32.42
  • 396,934≈ 105k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,115 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€209,461
    583€1,262
    45,115€32.42
    396,934€4.00
    R0€0.50