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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 26 May 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 44
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 39

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,145 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-05-25All recent draws2015-05-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 17 19 44 46 + 4 3929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

1138times
4127times
17129times
19151times
44

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€591.6Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€143.5K
  • 419%€113.6K
  • 344%€262.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€71.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

139times
46127times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 17, 19, 46) with the draw of 22 July 2014 — its closest relative in 1,144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.5 by chance
€71,757
  • 570≈ 71 by chance€1,025
  • 43,492≈ 3.9k by chance€32.54
  • 365,683≈ 71k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,492 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€71,757
    570€1,025
    43,492€32.54
    365,683€4.00
    R0€0.50