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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 32
  6. 48
  7. 6
  8. 10

Jackpot€287,328

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,137 of 4,852 under them

← 2015-05-15All recent draws2015-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 16 19 32 48 + 6 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

7138times
15136times
16141times
19150times
32

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€544.3Kto 66k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • 535%€192.2K
  • 419%€101.5K
  • 346%€250.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.28 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

144times
48125times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,136 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 16, 19, 32) with the draw of 8 February 2011 — its closest relative in 1,136 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2015): 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.3 by chance
no winners
  • 557≈ 68 by chance€3,372
  • 43,310≈ 3.7k by chance€30.65
  • 362,659≈ 68k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,310 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    557€3,372
    43,310€30.65
    362,659€4.00
    R0€0.50