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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 20 April 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 33
  3. 35
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 43
  7. 5
  8. 15

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,114 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-04-18All recent draws2015-04-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 33 35 38 42 43 + 5 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 136 of each

21133times
33140times
35147times
38148times
42

Prize breakdown · 2015-04-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€626.4Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€153.5K
  • 419%€121.5K
  • 344%€274.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€76.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

148times
43124times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (33, 38, 42) with the draw of 4 April 2015 — its closest relative in 1,113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 April 2015): 33, 38 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

212

The numbers add up to 212 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 53% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.6 by chance
€153,495
  • 542≈ 74 by chance€1,827
  • 43,459≈ 4.1k by chance€35.13
  • 368,666≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,459 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€153,495
    542€1,827
    43,459€35.13
    368,666€4.00
    R0€0.50