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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 6 March 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 10
  4. 19
  5. 25
  6. 26
  7. 2
  8. 2

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,081 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-03-04All recent draws2015-03-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 10 19 25 26 + 2 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

24oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 24 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each

4121times
6115times
10157times
19147times
25

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-06

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 107k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 629%€317.9K
  • 5+C15%€169.5K
  • 336%€401.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%€219.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

136times
26144times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,080 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 19, 25) with the draw of 11 November 2014 — its closest relative in 1,080 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€317,866
  • 5+C5≈ 5.3 by chance€33,906
  • 5108≈ 109 by chance€785
  • 46,176≈ 6.0k by chance€21.73
  • 3100,369≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 100,369 winners, 8% fewer than the 109k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€317,866
    5+C5€33,906
    5108€785
    46,176€21.73
    3100,369€4.00
    R0€0.50