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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 March 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 26
  3. 34
  4. 36
  5. 38
  6. 47
  7. 5
  8. 12

Jackpot€2,525,804

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,078 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-02-27All recent draws2015-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 26 34 36 38 47 + 5 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 132 of each

2127times
26143times
34137times
36152times
38

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€931.0Kto 108k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€228.1K
  • 419%€180.6K
  • 344%€408.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€114.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.45 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

139times
47134times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,077 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (26, 38, 47) with the draw of 24 November 2014 — its closest relative in 1,077 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C2≈ 5.4 by chance€114,041
  • 587≈ 110 by chance€1,311
  • 45,454≈ 6.1k by chance€33.11
  • 3102,073≈ 111k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,454 winners, 10% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€114,041
    587€1,311
    45,454€33.11
    3102,073€4.00
    R0€0.50