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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 23 February 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 48
  7. 3
  8. 7

Jackpot€986,936

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,074 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-02-20All recent draws2015-02-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 6 38 39 48 + 3 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 131 of each

2126times
5114times
6114times
38138times
39

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€786.9Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€198.5K
  • 420%€157.2K
  • 342%€332.0K
  • 1 other tier13%€99.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

145times
48121times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,073 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 6, 38) with the draw of 24 October 2014 — its closest relative in 1,073 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2015): 6 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6, 38–39. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.4 by chance
€198,522
  • 566≈ 90 by chance€1,504
  • 44,235≈ 4.9k by chance€37.11
  • 382,998≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,235 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€198,522
    566€1,504
    44,235€37.11
    382,998€4.00
    R0€0.50