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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 18 February 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 8
  8. 17

Jackpot€288,248

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,072 of 4,854 under them

← 2015-02-17All recent draws2015-02-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 27 28 38 43 44 + 8 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 131 of each

22139times
27142times
28130times
38137times
43

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€716.7Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 538%€270.8K
  • 420%€142.9K
  • 342%€303.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.33 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

118times
44131times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,071 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 38, 44) with the draw of 24 October 2014 — its closest relative in 1,071 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

202

The numbers add up to 202 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.0 by chance
no winners
  • 547≈ 82 by chance€5,762
  • 43,722≈ 4.5k by chance€38.40
  • 375,746≈ 82k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,722 winners, 18% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    547€5,762
    43,722€38.40
    375,746€4.00
    R0€0.50