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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 February 2015

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 42
  7. 8
  8. 10

Jackpot€678,050

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,062 of 4,855 under them

← 2015-01-30All recent draws2015-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 25 29 33 38 42 + 8 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 130 of each

18136times
25133times
29110times
33130times
38

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 657%€1.0M
  • 5+C11%€193.2K
  • 318%€335.9K
  • 2 other tiers14%€249.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
42141times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,061 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 25, 29, 33) with the draw of 4 May 2012 — its closest relative in 1,061 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 January 2015): 42 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,040,224
  • 5+C1≈ 4.4 by chance€193,160
  • 579≈ 91 by chance€1,223
  • 44,542≈ 5.0k by chance€33.67
  • 383,976≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,542 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,040,224
    5+C1€193,160
    579€1,223
    44,542€33.67
    383,976€4.00
    R0€0.50