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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 24 December 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 6
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 39
  7. 3
  8. 12

Jackpot€619,142

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,040 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-12-23All recent draws2014-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 6 30 34 39 + 3 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

1122times
4117times
6111times
30132times
34

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 657%€957.3K
  • 5+C11%€180.4K
  • 318%€308.8K
  • 2 other tiers14%€233.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
39140times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,039 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 30, 34) with the draw of 11 April 2014 — its closest relative in 1,039 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2014): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€957,332
  • 5+C2≈ 4.1 by chance€90,184
  • 556≈ 84 by chance€1,610
  • 43,667≈ 4.6k by chance€38.94
  • 377,202≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,667 winners, 20% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€957,332
    5+C2€90,184
    556€1,610
    43,667€38.94
    377,202€4.00
    R0€0.50