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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 1 December 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 42
  5. 46
  6. 48
  7. 4
  8. 19

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,026 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-11-28All recent draws2014-12-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 18 25 42 46 48 + 4 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 126 of each

16123times
18132times
25128times
42137times
46

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 632%€320.6K
  • 5+C17%€171.0K
  • 329%€287.7K
  • 2 other tiers22%€220.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
48119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,025 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 18, 42, 46) with the draw of 4 November 2014 — its closest relative in 1,025 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 November 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

195

The numbers add up to 195 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€320,580
  • 5+C4≈ 3.8 by chance€42,744
  • 580≈ 78 by chance€1,069
  • 44,007≈ 4.3k by chance€33.78
  • 371,931≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 71,931 winners, 8% fewer than the 78k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€320,580
    5+C4€42,744
    580€1,069
    44,007€33.78
    371,931€4.00
    R0€0.50