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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 5 November 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 24
  3. 28
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 48
  7. 7
  8. 31

Jackpot€564,695

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,012 of 4,855 under them

← 2014-11-04All recent draws2014-11-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 24 28 45 46 48 + 7 3129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

14125times
24131times
28122times
45116times
46

Prize breakdown · 2014-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€755.8Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€186.0K
  • 419%€147.3K
  • 344%€329.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€93.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

113times
48117times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,011 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 28, 45, 48) with the draw of 20 February 2012 — its closest relative in 1,011 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 November 2014): 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.3 by chance
€186,048
  • 564≈ 89 by chance€1,454
  • 44,204≈ 4.9k by chance€35.04
  • 382,357≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,204 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€186,048
    564€1,454
    44,204€35.04
    382,357€4.00
    R0€0.50