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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 25 August 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 46
  6. 47
  7. 9
  8. 38

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 970 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-08-22All recent draws2014-08-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 40 42 46 47 + 9 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each

1108times
597times
40122times
42131times
46

Prize breakdown · 2014-08-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€964.1Kto 69k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 633%€315.2K
  • 5+C17%€168.1K
  • 327%€263.8K
  • 2 other tiers23%€217.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

108times
47115times

Every number was expected about that many times after 969 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 40, 46) with the draw of 23 July 2014 — its closest relative in 969 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 August 2014): 5 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€315,158
  • 5+C3≈ 3.5 by chance€56,028
  • 553≈ 71 by chance€1,586
  • 43,442≈ 3.9k by chance€38.66
  • 365,943≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,442 winners, 12% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€315,158
    5+C3€56,028
    553€1,586
    43,442€38.66
    365,943€4.00
    R0€0.50