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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 30 July 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 28
  4. 37
  5. 43
  6. 49
  7. 5
  8. 15

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 956 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-07-29All recent draws2014-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 28 37 43 49 + 5 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 117 of each

7111times
11114times
28113times
37102times
43

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 89k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 630%€301.4K
  • 5+C16%€160.7K
  • 333%€334.9K
  • 2 other tiers21%€207.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
49126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 955 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 28, 43, 49) with the draw of 27 January 2014 — its closest relative in 955 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€301,366
  • 5+C7≈ 4.4 by chance€22,961
  • 588≈ 91 by chance€913
  • 44,946≈ 5.0k by chance€25.73
  • 383,732≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,732 winners, 8% fewer than the 91k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€301,366
    5+C7€22,961
    588€913
    44,946€25.73
    383,732€4.00
    R0€0.50