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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 5 May 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 9
  4. 23
  5. 43
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 31

Jackpot€648,221

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 906 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-05-02All recent draws2014-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 9 23 43 44 + 4 3129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 111 of each

196times
4103times
9109times
23111times
43

Prize breakdown · 2014-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 656%€983.6K
  • 515%€268.3K
  • 321%€359.7K
  • 1 other tier8.1%€141.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.40 by chance€491,791

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
44104times

Every number was expected about that many times after 905 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 23, 44) with the draw of 26 March 2014 — its closest relative in 905 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 May 2014): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 4.7 by chanceno winners
  • 571≈ 97 by chance€3,779
  • 44,767≈ 5.4k by chance€29.70
  • 389,916≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,767 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€491,791
    5+C0€0.00
    571€3,779
    44,767€29.70
    389,916€4.00
    R0€0.50