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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
Jackpot€857,804
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 899 of 4,854 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 April 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 110 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 898 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 32) with the draw of 18 March 2014 — its closest relative in 898 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 April 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 79,699 winners, 8% fewer than the 87k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 1 | €172,783 |
| 5 | 62 | €1,393 |
| 4 | 4,418 | €30.96 |
| 3 | 79,699 | €4.00 |
| R | 0 | €0.50 |