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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 24
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 48
  7. 6
  8. 49

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 856 of 4,854 under them

← 2014-02-04All recent draws2014-02-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 24 33 37 48 + 6 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

498times
9101times
24114times
3398times
37

Prize breakdown · 2014-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 631%€322.8K
  • 5+C17%€172.2K
  • 331%€316.5K
  • 2 other tiers22%€222.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
48101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 855 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 9, 33, 48) with the draw of 19 September 2012 — its closest relative in 855 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€322,818
  • 5+C1≈ 4.2 by chance€172,170
  • 568≈ 86 by chance€1,266
  • 44,168≈ 4.7k by chance€32.70
  • 379,113≈ 86k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,168 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€322,818
    5+C1€172,170
    568€1,266
    44,168€32.70
    379,113€4.00
    R0€0.50