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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 15 October 2013

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 27
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 2
  8. 49

Jackpot€315,624

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 791 of 4,854 under them

← 2013-10-14All recent draws2013-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 27 29 30 40 41 + 2 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 97 of each

1695times
27103times
2982times
30100times
40

Prize breakdown · 2013-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€664.0Kto 68k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C27%€176.7K
  • 421%€139.9K
  • 339%€259.2K
  • 1 other tier13%€88.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

93times
4190times

Every number was expected about that many times after 790 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (27, 30, 40) with the draw of 12 July 2013 — its closest relative in 790 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2013): 29, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30, 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 3.4 by chance
€35,332
  • 555≈ 70 by chance€1,606
  • 43,112≈ 3.9k by chance€44.94
  • 364,797≈ 70k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,112 winners, 19% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€35,332
    555€1,606
    43,112€44.94
    364,797€4.00
    R0€0.50