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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 10 May 2013

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 14
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 35
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 40

Jackpot€4,015,991

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 701 of 4,855 under them

← 2013-05-08All recent draws2013-05-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 14 18 28 35 45 + 6 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

1182times
1495times
1884times
2883times
35

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-10

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.6Mto 131k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.55

Where the money went

  • 681%€4.5M
  • 5+C4.6%€258.4K
  • 38.9%€497.3K
  • 2 other tiers6.0%€333.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.55 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

89times
4585times

Every number was expected about that many times after 700 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 18, 28, 35) with the draw of 9 September 2011 — its closest relative in 700 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,500,427
  • 5+C2≈ 6.6 by chance€129,183
  • 5111≈ 135 by chance€1,164
  • 46,314≈ 7.4k by chance€32.39
  • 3124,330≈ 135k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,314 winners, 15% fewer than the 7.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€4,500,427
    5+C2€129,183
    5111€1,164
    46,314€32.39
    3124,330€4.00
    R0€0.50