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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 5 December 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 19
  5. 21
  6. 34
  7. 7
  8. 33

Jackpot€622,458

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 612 of 4,854 under them

← 2012-12-04All recent draws2012-12-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 10 19 21 34 + 7 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

465times
962times
1096times
1990times
21

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-05

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€836.7Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€190.6K
  • 418%€150.9K
  • 348%€400.0K
  • 1 other tier11%€95.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

90times
3476times

Every number was expected about that many times after 611 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 21, 34) with the draw of 28 November 2012 — its closest relative in 611 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 5.3 by chance
€47,641
  • 5119≈ 108 by chance€801
  • 45,611≈ 6.0k by chance€26.89
  • 3100,003≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 100,003 winners, 8% fewer than the 109k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€47,641
    5119€801
    45,611€26.89
    3100,003€4.00
    R0€0.50