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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 21 September 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 37
  5. 41
  6. 44
  7. 5
  8. 42

Jackpot€339,983

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 569 of 4,854 under them

← 2012-09-19All recent draws2012-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 23 37 41 44 + 5 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

1166times
1662times
2369times
3760times
41

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 98k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • 646%€731.1K
  • 5+C13%€208.6K
  • 323%€368.6K
  • 2 other tiers17%€269.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
4464times

Every number was expected about that many times after 568 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 16, 23, 41) with the draw of 11 July 2012 — its closest relative in 568 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 43% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€731,093
  • 5+C1≈ 4.9 by chance€208,592
  • 5165≈ 100 by chance€632
  • 45,690≈ 5.5k by chance€29.02
  • 392,154≈ 100k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 92,154 winners, 8% fewer than the 100k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€731,093
    5+C1€208,592
    5165€632
    45,690€29.02
    392,154€4.00
    R0€0.50