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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 20 August 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 18
  3. 25
  4. 31
  5. 32
  6. 38
  7. 5
  8. 9

Jackpot€869,938

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 550 of 4,853 under them

← 2012-08-17All recent draws2012-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 18 25 31 32 38 + 5 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

1567times
1869times
2569times
3164times
32

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-20

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€774.7Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€187.8K
  • 419%€148.7K
  • 344%€344.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€93.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.38 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

78times
3868times

Every number was expected about that many times after 549 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 25, 31, 32) with the draw of 16 March 2011 — its closest relative in 549 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.5 by chance
€62,604
  • 565≈ 93 by chance€1,445
  • 44,656≈ 5.1k by chance€31.93
  • 386,074≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,656 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€62,604
    565€1,445
    44,656€31.93
    386,074€4.00
    R0€0.50