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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 30 July 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 4
  8. 8

Jackpot€647,036

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 538 of 4,853 under them

← 2012-07-27All recent draws2012-07-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 13 14 40 43 48 + 4 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

155times
1360times
1469times
4073times
43

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 656%€1.0M
  • 5+C11%€201.3K
  • 318%€335.0K
  • 2 other tiers14%€259.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

50times
4862times

Every number was expected about that many times after 537 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 14, 40) with the draw of 17 July 2012 — its closest relative in 537 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2012): 13 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,024,389
  • 5+C2≈ 4.4 by chance€100,627
  • 557≈ 91 by chance€1,765
  • 44,103≈ 5.0k by chance€38.83
  • 383,738≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,103 winners, 18% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,024,389
    5+C2€100,627
    557€1,765
    44,103€38.83
    383,738€4.00
    R0€0.50