Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Bonoloto · draw
ResultBonoloto
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 528 of 4,853 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 527 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 22, 23) with the draw of 13 May 2011 — its closest relative in 527 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 41% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,036 winners, 10% fewer than the 5.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | €0.00 |
| 5+C | 3 | €58,903 |
| 5 | 93 | €950 |
| 4 | 5,036 | €27.78 |
| 3 | 94,156 | €4.00 |
| R | 0 | €0.50 |