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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 18 May 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 20
  3. 26
  4. 35
  5. 44
  6. 49
  7. 2
  8. 33

Jackpot€1,024,472

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 497 of 4,854 under them

← 2012-05-16All recent draws2012-05-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 20 26 35 44 49 + 2 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

948times
2072times
2668times
3564times
44

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€944.0Kto 107k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€235.3K
  • 420%€186.3K
  • 343%€404.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€117.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.45 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
4973times

Every number was expected about that many times after 496 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 20, 26, 35) with the draw of 12 March 2012 — its closest relative in 496 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 May 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 5.3 by chance
€58,832
  • 586≈ 110 by chance€1,368
  • 45,260≈ 6.0k by chance€35.42
  • 3101,178≈ 110k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,260 winners, 13% fewer than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€58,832
    586€1,368
    45,260€35.42
    3101,178€4.00
    R0€0.50