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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 5 March 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 40
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 48

Jackpot€2,036,295

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 454 of 4,854 under them

← 2012-03-02All recent draws2012-03-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 20 21 40 45 + 6 4829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

539times
1852times
2065times
2168times
40

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-05

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.50

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€247.9K
  • 419%€196.2K
  • 344%€454.8K
  • 1 other tier12%€123.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.50 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

65times
4561times

Every number was expected about that many times after 453 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (20, 21, 40) with the draw of 19 August 2011 — its closest relative in 453 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 6.0 by chance
€82,623
  • 5109≈ 123 by chance€1,137
  • 46,206≈ 6.8k by chance€31.62
  • 3113,692≈ 123k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,206 winners, 8% fewer than the 6.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€82,623
    5109€1,137
    46,206€31.62
    3113,692€4.00
    R0€0.50