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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 February 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 12
  5. 28
  6. 45
  7. 8
  8. 19

Jackpot€785,834

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 447 of 4,855 under them

← 2012-02-20All recent draws2012-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 4 12 28 45 + 8 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

146times
251times
446times
1236times
28

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€816.3Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€181.7K
  • 418%€143.9K
  • 349%€399.8K
  • 1 other tier11%€90.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
4559times

Every number was expected about that many times after 446 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 28, 45) with the draw of 20 February 2012 — its closest relative in 446 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2012): 2, 28, 45 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 5.3 by chance
€45,433
  • 581≈ 108 by chance€1,122
  • 45,192≈ 6.0k by chance€27.71
  • 399,951≈ 109k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,192 winners, 13% fewer than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€45,433
    581€1,122
    45,192€27.71
    399,951€4.00
    R0€0.50