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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 3 February 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 10
  4. 25
  5. 31
  6. 48
  7. 8
  8. 49

Jackpot€684,691

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 437 of 4,854 under them

← 2012-02-01All recent draws2012-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 10 25 31 48 + 8 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

145times
344times
1063times
2557times
31

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 128k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.53

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€225.1K
  • 418%€178.2K
  • 348%€485.7K
  • 1 other tier11%€112.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.53 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

52times
4854times

Every number was expected about that many times after 436 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 25, 31) with the draw of 31 January 2012 — its closest relative in 436 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5≈ 6.4 by chance
€45,026
  • 5138≈ 131 by chance€816
  • 46,768≈ 7.2k by chance€26.33
  • 3121,425≈ 132k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 121,425 winners, 8% fewer than the 132k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C5€45,026
    5138€816
    46,768€26.33
    3121,425€4.00
    R0€0.50