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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 21 December 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 3
  8. 22

Jackpot€638,306

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 412 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-12-20All recent draws2011-12-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 16 20 28 39 40 + 3 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

1348times
1642times
2061times
2850times
39

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 655%€1.0M
  • 5+C11%€218.8K
  • 319%€361.2K
  • 2 other tiers15%€282.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
4056times

Every number was expected about that many times after 411 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 20, 28, 40) with the draw of 26 January 2011 — its closest relative in 411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,048,520
  • 5+C1≈ 4.8 by chance€218,781
  • 588≈ 98 by chance€1,243
  • 44,769≈ 5.4k by chance€36.32
  • 390,303≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,769 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,048,520
    5+C1€218,781
    588€1,243
    44,769€36.32
    390,303€4.00
    R0€0.50