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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 16 November 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 22
  4. 33
  5. 41
  6. 45
  7. 7
  8. 47

Jackpot€2,307,382

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 392 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-11-15All recent draws2011-11-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 22 33 41 45 + 7 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

136times
856times
2248times
3351times
41

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 7.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.50

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€244.0K
  • 419%€193.1K
  • 345%€453.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€122.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.50 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

45times
4546times

Every number was expected about that many times after 391 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 33, 41, 45) with the draw of 8 June 2011 — its closest relative in 391 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C2≈ 6.0 by chance€121,978
  • 5104≈ 123 by chance€1,173
  • 46,321≈ 6.8k by chance€30.55
  • 3113,424≈ 123k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 113,424 winners, 8% fewer than the 123k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€121,978
    5104€1,173
    46,321€30.55
    3113,424€4.00
    R0€0.50