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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 14 November 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 39
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 17

Jackpot€1,463,113

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 390 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-11-11All recent draws2011-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 23 27 39 43 48 + 5 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

638times
2352times
2751times
3956times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€917.9Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€228.1K
  • 420%€180.5K
  • 343%€395.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€114.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.43 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
4847times

Every number was expected about that many times after 389 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (23, 27, 39, 43) with the draw of 2 June 2010 — its closest relative in 389 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 November 2011): 27 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

186

The numbers add up to 186 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 5.2 by chance
€114,031
  • 5104≈ 107 by chance€1,096
  • 45,161≈ 5.9k by chance€34.98
  • 398,821≈ 107k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,161 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€114,031
    5104€1,096
    45,161€34.98
    398,821€4.00
    R0€0.50