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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 21 October 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 23
  4. 34
  5. 41
  6. 48
  7. 7
  8. 10

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 377 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-10-19All recent draws2011-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 23 34 41 48 + 7 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

744times
1540times
2348times
3446times
41

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 112k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 64 winnerschance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 645%€739.5K
  • 5+C13%€214.0K
  • 325%€420.6K
  • 2 other tiers17%€276.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 64≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

43times
4846times

Every number was expected about that many times after 376 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 34, 48) with the draw of 11 March 2011 — its closest relative in 376 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2011): 7, 41 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€184,877
  • 5+C3≈ 5.6 by chance€71,328
  • 5160≈ 114 by chance€669
  • 46,250≈ 6.3k by chance€27.10
  • 3105,139≈ 114k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 105,139 winners, 8% fewer than the 114k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    64€184,877
    5+C3€71,328
    5160€669
    46,250€27.10
    3105,139€4.00
    R0€0.50