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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 30 September 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 42
  7. 5
  8. 36

Jackpot€3,300,915

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 365 of 4,855 under them

← 2011-09-28All recent draws2011-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 21 29 32 42 + 5 3629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

134times
1538times
2156times
2936times
32

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.0Mto 133k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.56

Where the money went

  • 676%€3.9M
  • 5+C5.9%€296.9K
  • 310%€505.3K
  • 2 other tiers7.6%€383.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.56 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
4246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 364 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 15, 21) with the draw of 31 August 2011 — its closest relative in 364 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2011): 29 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,857,667
  • 5+C5≈ 6.7 by chance€59,387
  • 5109≈ 137 by chance€1,362
  • 46,480≈ 7.5k by chance€36.28
  • 3126,320≈ 137k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,480 winners, 14% fewer than the 7.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,857,667
    5+C5€59,387
    5109€1,362
    46,480€36.28
    3126,320€4.00
    R0€0.50