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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 23 September 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 8
  5. 32
  6. 46
  7. 8
  8. 38

Jackpot€1,518,261

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 361 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-09-21All recent draws2011-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 6 8 32 46 + 8 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

239times
533times
636times
848times
32

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.0Mto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.54

Where the money went

  • 534%€356.6K
  • 418%€188.2K
  • 347%€489.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.54 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
4639times

Every number was expected about that many times after 360 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 6, 8, 32) with the draw of 13 December 2010 — its closest relative in 360 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2011): 6 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 6.5 by chance
no winners
  • 5106≈ 133 by chance€3,364
  • 46,581≈ 7.3k by chance€28.60
  • 3122,487≈ 133k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,581 winners, 10% fewer than the 7.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    5106€3,364
    46,581€28.60
    3122,487€4.00
    R0€0.50